2016 AT&T Byron Nelson

Matt Kuchar

Can Kuch close this week at TPC Four Seasons

Talk about a hangover easy. Regardless of the what tournament follows up The Players, it’s not going to be the most heralded of the bunch. TPC Four Seasons favors those long hitters, and those who can get their putter hot. Both Tom and myself are suffering a busy work week, and being quite ill, respectively, so this will be pretty short and sweet.

For starters, lets talk about weather. Irving, TX is supposed to get a lot of rain this weekend, especially Thursday. If there is one thing this affects, it’s the Thursday afternoon groups, and the Friday morning groups. Why? Because typically they end up playing back-to-back golf on Friday. I know they are elite athletes, but that type of excess play can put a strain on anyone, both mentally and physically.

ATT Byron Nelson weather

Watch out for weather this week in Irving, TX

What can you do with that? Well instead of our typical high-to-low likes of the week. I’m going to give you a list of players that are playing in the Thursday morning groups that I really like:

Matt Kuchar – Mr. cash game. Kuch has been consistently solid throughout 2016. I like him to make yet another cut this week, and to also contend.

AT&T Byron Nelson

Non-weighted AT&T Byron Nelson Key Stats

Charl Schwartzel – Projects 2nd in our unweighted model. Charl has been playing good golf as of late. There is a chance that he could be a bit rusty, not having played since The Masters, however that should be balanced out by the weather.

Sergio Garcia – I think Sergio makes for a nice contrarian play. I would expect him to have low ownership this week, but he still will contend.

Gary Woodland – Along with Kuch, a definite cash-game play. He rarely misses cuts, and on a bomber course like this, I would also look for him to push for a top-10.

Ryan Palmer – A Texas native playing in Texas. I think his ownership will be high, based on the fact that it seems like no one knows what to do this week, so we may as well through a Texas native in there right? I will say that be careful on this play as the only thing he really has going for him is driving distance.

Tim Wilkinson – Stay in the flames Timmy Wilks! My goodness has he been playing good golf. Not a bomber, but he is ranked first in scrambling and top-10 in strokes gained putting.

Birdie Buster

Our Birdie Buster ranking takes into account BoB%, Avg Birdies, and Bogey Avoidance

Lucas Glover – I’m projecting Glover to be the highest owned in his range. He checks out on all major stats, and has been putting some good tournaments together as of late. He also has the benefit of being surrounded by a bunch of fades. Don’t sleep on Glover, but don’t think you’re getting a steal either.

Jonas Blixt – Hello sleeper! Vegas has him much higher than others in his range, and that typically means something. Definite contrarian play, and again, he has the added benefit of playing Thursday morning.

Adam Hadwin – I’ll continue to tote Hadwin’s name until he burns me. He has been consistent as of late. He’s not a huge bomber off the tee, but he is a DraftKings scorer, as he tends to get his putter hot. I like Hadwin to continue his birdie barrage this week.

 

***As for the Thursday afternoon players, Dustin Johnson is the obvious course horse this week, and look out for players like Andrew Loupe, Sean O’Hair, Marc Leishman, and it also looks like Jordan Spieth is having fun again.

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